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ASX 200 set to fall – SEK, FLT & SUL shares in focus

It was another green day on the market with the S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) adding 0.5% on the back of the materials sector, with the gold price jumping significantly.

Silver Lake Resources Limited (ASX: SLR) and Northern Star Resources Ltd (ASX: NST) were among the biggest beneficiaries, adding 7.9% and 4.0%, respectively.

The trigger appears to have been a weaker AUD after the RBA kept rates on hold at 0.1% once again but flagged hope that the unemployment rate will drop to 4.5% by the end of next year.

The governor noted the growing heat in the property market, with the ABS reporting that new mortgages hit a record $30.2 billion in March as investors added 12.7%, the fastest pace since 2003.

SEEK upgrades guidance

SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK) appears to be benefitting from the economic recovery, moving 1.9% higher after upgrading guidance as operating conditions in both Australia and Asia continue to improve.

It now expects $1.59 billion in revenue and a net profit of $140 million, an improvement on expectations.

Investors cheered the announcement that a portion of the $697 million to be received from the sell-down of SEEK’s investment in Zhaopin would be returned in the form of a dividend.

Retail recovery on track

Vicinity Centres (ASX: VCX) fell 1.0% despite confirming that both centre visitation and retail sales were improving.

Supermarkets grew 1.5% on pre-COVID levels whilst discount department centres remain the focus of more conservative consumers, with sales in the sector adding 11.7% as traditional department store sales collapsed by 22.4%.

Vicinity said that strong spend per visit in conjunction with increasing centre visitation may be a positive lead indicator for continued recovery.

Travellers taking flight

Struggling travel agency Flight Centre Travel Group Ltd (ASX: FLT) has confirmed that its recovery is still on track, reporting record sales in March in the COVID-impacted environment.

Sales turnover for March was $100 million, 32.7% better than February with further growth expected in April.

That said, second-half losses are expected to be broadly in line with the first half as revenue gains are offset by JobKeeper losses. Flight Centre shares fell 4.6% on the news.

Nine Entertainment benefiting from value rotation

The struggling media sector is benefitting from the value rotation, with Nine Entertainment Co Holdings Ltd (ASX: NEC) reporting that revenue growth in its broadcasting business had improved 6% and closer to 50% for the June quarter just one month in.

Costs have fallen 3% with a number of sports rights falling away, the NEC share price jumped 2.5% on the news.

Niche retail showing no signs of slowing

Niche retailer Super Retail Group Ltd (ASX: SUL) delivered another strong upgrade, sales growth up 28% across the group for the first 44 weeks of the trading year; this is 22% better than 2019 figures.

Boating Camping Fishing is benefitting from the travel-at-home trend, sales jumping 57% on 2020 levels and 49% on 2019. Rebel Sports saw 20% growth and Super Cheap Auto 21%, which sent the Super Retail share price 0.7% higher.

ASX 200 today

The ASX 200 is poised to fall when the market opens on Wednesday following a weak lead from US markets overnight, which saw tech stocks fall particularly hard. For all the latest, check out Rask Media’s US stock market report.

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At the time of publishing, the author of this article does not have a financial or commercial interest in any of the companies mentioned.

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Wattle Partners is a financial advice firm, servicing clients around Australia, specialising in retirement planning (pre and post retirement). 

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