The stock market crash in the first half of the year saw many companies on the ASX plunge in price. One positive to come out of this is an opportunity for investors to buy companies at discounted rates that had not been seen since the GFC.
But with shares starting to rebound, many investors have been left wondering if they’ve missed out on the bull market recovery.
Technology bull run
In March, the ASX 200 saw its biggest fall in over a decade (-11%) but has since rebounded by 34%. Additionally, the ASX All Technology Index (ASX: XTX) has reached record highs recently with a rise of 77% following the downturn.
Despite the massive run-up in share prices, there are still many companies that have not returned to their pre-COVID price – creating an opportunity for long-term investors.
The big ASX banks
While the tech sector has skyrocketed in the past few months, the ASX 200 Banks Index (ASX: XBK) has not seen a similar rebound. The XBK Index is up 29% from its March lows. Although not a bad return, the index is still down 26.97% for the year.
Of course, it’s worth remembering that the banks’ income statements are being hit hard at the moment, and dividends are being placed on hold as they help the economy through this tough period.
So, the question is, has the market overreacted to the banks’ predicament or are the share prices fair considering the current environment?
In a recent article, Rask’s Owen Raszkiewicz provided some tips and tricks on how he is currently valuing bank shares. You can read the article here.
Extension of loan deferrals
News this week revealed the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority (APRA) has said deferred loans will now last for a maximum of 10 months, or finish on the 31st of March 2021 – whichever is earlier.
Although this has extended the pain for banks in regards to revenue and dividend payments, it may be beneficial for them in the long term as a way to avoid bad debts.
For current investors who own shares in Australian banks, it might be hard to see the light at the end of the tunnel. However, there is one positive that may come out of the loan deferrals. Although currently on hold, the interest will be added to the outstanding loans next year, which should see a higher return for the banks (and investors) over the life of a loan.
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