Are higher rates breaking the property market? Pete and Chris on buying in a downturn

Pete Wargent and Chris Bates discuss rising mortgage costs, Australia’s property downturn, buyer decisions and listener questions on investing.

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About this episode

Are higher interest rates finally testing the Australian property market—or creating a window for patient buyers?

In this episode of the Australian Property Podcast, Pete Wargent and Chris Bates discuss what rising mortgage costs and stubborn household expenses mean for buyers, borrowers and investors. Recorded ahead of an RBA decision, their conversation examines the prospect of another rate rise rather than assuming its outcome.

They look at why some households cannot refinance despite holding equity, how tighter borrowing capacity is changing the plans of first-home buyers and upgraders, and why a weaker market does not affect every suburb or price point equally. Pete and Chris also explore the pressures facing builders and developers, and the tension between falling prices today and constrained housing supply tomorrow.

Is property still worth investing in during a downturn? They weigh the appeal of well-located, established homes against higher holding costs, uncertain rates and the risk of buying new property on shaky assumptions.

In the listener Q&A, they consider how a property developer approaching retirement might plan a portfolio sell-down, the trade-offs of rentvesting in different markets, and whether a Melbourne homeowner should keep cash in an offset account, buy another home or investigate commercial property. Along the way, they stress the importance of debt, cash flow and property quality over easy predictions.

If you’re deciding whether to buy, upgrade, invest or wait, this conversation offers a grounded look at the choices shaping the next stage of Australia’s housing cycle.

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