Why spring sellers may struggle: rate pressure, weak demand and a supply squeeze

Pete Wargent and Chris Bates unpack spring listings, rate-hike risk, builder stress and the supply crunch shaping the next phase of Australia’s property cycle.

Listen now

About this episode

In this Australian Property Podcast episode, Pete Wargent and Chris Bates take stock of a property market that feels busier on the surface but weaker underneath. Open home traffic is picking up, yet buyers are hesitating, listings still look thin for spring, and another RBA hike is back in play after inflation and bond yields pushed higher.

Pete and Chris unpack why sentiment has turned so quickly, from forecasts of a 10% peak-to-trough decline to the risk that higher-for-longer rates squeeze borrowing power, budgets and buyer confidence. They also explore how the current slowdown could hit different markets unevenly, why investor appetite remains fragile, and what weaker turnover might mean for prices through the rest of 2026. The bigger question is whether buyers get more choice this spring without getting much real confidence back.

The episode also dives into the pressure building across construction and development. With costs permanently higher, credit harder to access and a major New South Wales builder collapse rattling confidence, the pair argue the biggest issue may not be demand alone but the supply crunch forming underneath it.

If you want a practical read on spring listings, mortgage competition, investor behaviour and the next phase of Australia’s housing cycle, this is a timely episode to catch.

Podcast resources

Got a question you want answered on the podcast?

Wanna sponsor The Australian Property Podcast?

New sponsors of The Australian Property Podcast are coming soon.

Are you a bank, PropTech or property expert and want to grow your brand?

Tell us why you would make a great sponsor of The Australain Property Podcast. 

Share this episode:

Facebook
X
LinkedIn
Email
WhatsApp

Better investing starts here.

Want to level-up your analytical skills and investing insights but don’t know where to start? Join 50,000 Australian investors on our mailing list and we’ll send you our favourite podcasts, courses, resources and investment articles every Sunday morning. Grab a coffee and let Owen and the team bring you the best  insights.

Download the ETF investing mini-series
checklist to follow along

We've created a free resource just for you: a simple editable checklist designed to accompany the podcast series that helps you apply what you learn as you go.

By downloading, you agree to receive emails from us. You can unsubscribe anytime.

Subscribe to Rask's free investor newsletter

Kick off your week with our pick of podcasts, courses and investing resources to keep your finger on the Rask pulse!

Here you go: A $50,000 per year passive income special report

Join more 50,000 Australian investors who read our weekly investing newsletter and we’ll send you our passive income investing report right now.

Simply enter your email address and we’ll send it to you. No tricks. Unsubscribe anytime.

Read our TermsFinancial Services GuidePrivacy Policy. We’ll never sell your email address. Our company is Australian owned.