Qantas share price descends as capex jumps and dividends rise

Profit is up, but big spending and one-offs tell a deeper Qantas story.
qantas plane taking off into blue sky

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Profit is up, but big spending and one-offs tell a deeper Qantas story.

Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX: QAN) delivered a stronger first-half result for FY26, with higher underlying profit and dividends, even as one-off costs trimmed statutory earnings.

After a turbulent few years for the aviation sector, this result shows an airline that is still rebuilding, investing heavily, and leaning into the parts of the business that generate more predictable returns.

What Qantas reported

Revenue rose 6% to $12.9 billion for the six months to 31 December, while underlying profit before tax increased by $71 million to $1,456 million. Statutory profit after tax came in at $925 million , reflecting the impact of one-off items during the half.

Underlying earnings per share were 68 cents, and net debt closed the period at $5.6 billion, in line with the company’s target range.

Shareholders will receive an interim fully franked dividend of 19.8 cents per share, alongside an on-market share buy-back of up to $150 million .

Across the broader group, profits across Qantas and Jetstar rose $2 million to $925 million in the half . Excluding the cost of Singapore-based Jetstar Asia and other legal provisions, profit increased by $71 million to $1.46 billion .

Those one-offs matter. Closure costs tied to Jetstar Asia and provisions related to cyber incidents weighed on statutory profit, reminding investors that transformation periods rarely come without friction.

Investment cycle continues

One figure that stands out is capital expenditure. Net capex rose 27% to $1.8 billion during the half, as Qantas continued its fleet renewal program.

The group took delivery of 18 aircraft in the period, including nine new planes and nine from the closed Jetstar Asia operations, while keeping debt at $5.6 billion .

Fleet renewal is capital intensive, but it also reshapes the cost base and customer experience over time. The strategy is vital and necessary for Qantas, as it holds one of the oldest fleets in the world. Management noted that around 60% of Jetstar’s profitability improvement in the half was driven by new aircraft through growth and redeployment opportunities .

In other words, spending today is designed to lift efficiency and margin tomorrow.

Loyalty remains a golden goose

While airlines are cyclical businesses, Qantas Loyalty continues to stand out as a more stable earnings stream. Loyalty operating profit (EBIT) rose 12% to $286 million in the first half , and management expects earnings in the division to grow between 10% and 12% over the full year .

The frequent flyer program is also evolving. Qantas announced changes that make it easier to earn status credits without flying, while increasing the thresholds required to retain higher tiers . The move reflects how strategically important the loyalty ecosystem has become.

For Qantas, Loyalty is more than a marketing tool. It is a cash-generating business in its own right, tied to banks, retailers and everyday consumer spending. In many ways, it acts as a buffer when ticket pricing or travel demand softens.

Where Qantas sits today

This half-year result paints a picture of a business in transition.

Underlying profit is rising. Shareholder returns have increased. The fleet is expanding and modernising. At the same time, statutory profit shows the cost of restructuring and legacy issues.
Qantas has distributed significant capital to shareholders and plans to continue doing so, while also investing heavily in aircraft and long-haul initiatives.

For investors, the key themes are clear:

  • Strong underlying profitability despite one-offs
  • Rising capital investment through fleet renewal
  • A growing, high-margin loyalty division
  • Debt remaining within target range

 

Airlines will always carry operational complexity and economic sensitivity. Yet Qantas today looks less like a pure airline and more like a diversified travel and loyalty group, with one division in particular continuing to prove its value.

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At the time of publishing, Leigh Gant does not have a financial interest in the companies mentioned.

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