5 ASX shares to watch as earnings season heats up

Earnings season is back, and with it comes one of the most volatile periods on the ASX calendar, where expectations, guidance and sentiment can shift quickly.

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Earnings season is back, and with it comes one of the most volatile periods on the ASX calendar, where expectations, guidance and sentiment can shift quickly.

Over the next few weeks, most listed companies will report their half-year results, offering investors fresh insight into how businesses are tracking and how management teams see the road ahead. It is often less about the headline numbers and more about how those results compare with expectations.

This week, several well-known Australian businesses are stepping into the spotlight. Here are five earnings results investors will be watching closely.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia (ASX: CBA)

Due Wednesday, Commonwealth Bank is the second-largest company on the ASX and a core holding for many Australians through superannuation and personal portfolios.

As Australia’s biggest bank, investors will be watching lending growth, margins, mortgage competition and credit quality. With cost pressures and economic uncertainty still in focus, commentary around household stress, arrears and capital management will likely attract attention. Given its size and influence, Commonwealth Bank’s result often sets the tone for the broader financial sector.

CAR Group Ltd (ASX: CAR)

CAR Group has already reported, and the online automotive classifieds business continues to demonstrate the power of digital marketplace platforms.

Investors typically focus on revenue growth across regions, margin performance and how well the business is reinvesting in technology and data. With automotive markets normalising after several volatile years, outlook commentary around dealer demand and international operations is often just as important as the numbers themselves.

Pro Medicus (ASX: PME)

After a sharp sell-off in global software stocks in the past few weeks, Pro Medicus’ result will be closely watched as a bellwether for high-quality growth companies.

The medical imaging software provider has built a strong reputation for long-term contracts, high margins and disciplined execution. Investors will be paying attention to contract wins, revenue visibility and any commentary around hospital spending cycles. The response to the result may say as much about market sentiment toward growth as it does about the business itself.

CSL Ltd (ASX: CSL)

CSL shares are down more than 30% since the last reporting season, placing extra focus on this update.

As one of Australia’s most significant healthcare companies, CSL’s plasma collection volumes, margins and progress across its product pipeline are key areas to watch. Investors will also be listening carefully to management’s outlook commentary, particularly after a challenging period for global healthcare stocks.

Nick Scali (ASX: NCK)

Nick Scali has been one of the ASX’s standout retailers over recent years, supported by strong execution and disciplined expansion.

This result will shine a light on how the business is navigating softer consumer conditions and whether its UK acquisition is performing as hoped. Sales trends, margins and inventory management will be important, alongside any insight into how Australian households are responding to higher living costs.

Putting earnings season in perspective

Earnings season can feel noisy, especially when share prices move sharply on results days. These swings are often driven by expectations rather than fundamentals alone.

For long-term investors, this period is best used to understand how businesses are tracking, how management teams think, and whether the underlying story is evolving. Volatility is part of the process, but clarity tends to come from stepping back and focusing on the business, not the day-to-day market reaction.

Live webinar (with Q&A)

Earnings Season Whiplash
Why prices jump and crash, and how to think clearly when results hit

  • Presented by Owen Rask & Leigh Gant
  • 16 February 
  • 7pm AEDT 
At the time of writing, the author does not own shares in the companies mentioned.

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