The Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) has continued to slip into the 60-cents range today after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) announced it would cut interest rates from a record-low 1.5% to a new record low of 1.25%.
Australian Dollar to US Dollar
With the Australian dollar falling from its highs of around $1.10 all the way back in 2011 to below US70 cents today, there seem to be more reasons why the AUD could keep falling to 60 cents, rather than reverse its course. Here are three reasons that seem obvious to me:
1. Lower Interest Rates
Falling interest rates typically mean the local currency will face downwards pressure as large investors will seek to ‘sell’ their Australian dollars and ‘buy’ US dollars. Falling interest rates are often perceived as a sign of a weakening economy.
We’ve talked about housing many times before on Rask Media because the market is coming off the boil as credit/loans become harder to get and the underlying economy weakens. I recently sat down with property investing expert Pete Wargent to talk about his story, how he came to be one of Australia’s leading property investors and economists, and his outlook for housing:
Given that Aussies place such a huge emphasis on housing — sometimes making it their only investment and asset — and household debt levels are still sky high, if property prices keep falling then I’d expect the Australian dollar to see more weakness.
3. Trade War
The trade war between the USA and China is hurting both countries and every other country in between, including Australia.
We’re in a precarious position between the two nations when it comes to imports and exports, so further escalation could result in more pressure for the RBA to cut interest rates, as Pendal’s Vimal Gor recently told me on The Australian Investors Podcast:
What I’m Doing Now
Over the past year, I’ve diversified more of my personal share portfolio, which is also known as the Rask Invest Model Portfolio, into companies and currencies outside Australia. Specifically, at this time I have slightly over 20% of my cash sitting in US dollars and almost every one of the companies I own shares in generates much of its sales outside Australian shores.
I believe investing in countries and companies outside our home country of Australia lowers portfolio risk (as we’re seeing today) and increases the investment opportunities, given that around 98% of the world’s share ideas can be found away from the ASX.
As it stands, I see more reasons to keep investing abroad than focus solely on Australian shares. However, one of the ASX companies I own right now can be found in the free investing report below.
After searching through a market with over 2,000 shares, our lead expert investment analyst has narrowed it down to just 2 of his favourite rapid-growth shares in a FREE report to Rask Media readers.
Over the past five years, these two shares have gone from being 'tiny caps' to being serious contenders for the ASX 200.
Idea #1 is taking on the world, starting with the huge USA market. In a just a few short years the company has snatched market share away from rivals and is on its way to being the market leader.
Idea #2 uses a 'printer and cartridge' type model to get large and established customers: a) using their healthcare industry-leading product, b) paying for it again and again and again... so it's little wonder this company is tipped to grow at a rapid pace in 2019.
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Disclaimer: Any information contained in this article is limited to general financial/investment advice only. The information has not taken into account your specific needs, goals or objectives, so please consider consulting a licenced and trusted adviser before acting on the information. Please read The Rask Group’s Financial Services Guide (FSG) for more information. This article is authorised by Owen Raszkiewicz of The Rask Group, which is a corporate authorised representative No. 1264179 of Strawman Pty Ltd (ACN: 610 908 211) (AFSL: 501 223).