Will capital gains tax reform push investors out of Australian property?

Listings are tight. Rents are tighter. And policy might be about to test both.

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About this episode

Listings are tight. Rents are tighter. And policy might be about to test both.

Pete Wargent and Chris Bates to break down the forces shaping Australian property in 2026 — from capital gains tax reform chatter and rental market stress to financing resilience and where momentum still exists. The focus: what actually changes behaviour, and what just makes headlines.

 

Together, they discuss:

  • Unemployment holding keeps the possibility of further rate hikes alive
  • First-home buyers continue pushing ahead
  • Record quarterly housing finance and lift in investor lending show capital is still active
  • Winding back the CGT discount may reduce flipping but is unlikely to deter investors
  • Vacancy rates near record lows
  • Without investor participation, rental availability deteriorates further
  • Seller behaviour matters more than headlines; listings remain historically tight
  • Listener Q&A

 

 

 

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