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The Match Out: Huge intra-day bounce as buyers emerge with force

Here’s today’s The Match Out report from Market Matters’ James Gerrish. Key point: the S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) finished up +0.051% to 7068.80.

Markets @ MiddayListen here at lunchtime or find all Market Matters Podcasts on Spotify.

The ASX200 traded below the 7000 level this morning for the first time since March as the risk-off trade continued after the Hawkish update from the Fed yesterday, but a huge intra-day turnaround took hold and the ASX200 ultimately finished marginally higher, rallying +111pts from the morning lows which was simply a phenomenal effort!

The intra-day buying helped snap a 4-day losing streak, though the index fell by -210pts/-2.89% over the course of a tough week.

  • The ASX 200 eventually closed up +3pts / +0.05% to 7068
  • The Utilities sector +0.79% was best on ground today, supported by Energy (+0.72%) and Materials (0.56%)
  • Interest rate leveraged sectors of Real Estate (-1.41%), Healthcare (-1.02%) and Tech (-0.67%) found it the toughest.
  • There was clearly aggressive buying sub-7000 which is a very positive sign and implies a strong level of support at the bottom end of the trading range.
  • We’ve written a lot about respecting the range on the ASX200 in recent months, which sits between 7000-7500 and while it’s been equally restrictive on the upside, the downside support was very obvious today.
  • Most stocks opened smack on their lows and rallied hard throughout the session – a day that paid dividends to those who bought the open.
  • The Bank of Japan continues to hold out on rate hikes, sticking with the -0.1% interest rate, still targeting 0% for Government 10-year bonds and maintaining a dovish stance.
  • Costa Group Holdings Ltd (ASX: CGC) +6.55% rallied as the board of the fruit and veg producer unanimously accepted the bid from Paine Schwartz at $3.20/sh, down from $3.50/sh.
  • News Corporation Class B Voting CDI (ASX: NWS) +2.24% was higher after Rupert Murdoch announced he was handing over the reins to his son Lachlan. At 92 years young, it’s been a good innings from Rupert!
  • Lithium stocks held up well in the face of a softer market, prices for Spodumene were up overnight which flowed through to the Chemical producers today, notably Pilbara Minerals Ltd (ASX: PLS) which added +6.78% after opening lower – a huge turnaround!
  • Healius Limited (ASX: HLS) and Australian Clinical Labs Ltd (ASX: ACL) were both largely unchanged following the ACCC’s request for more information on the planned tie-up of two of Australia’s largest pathology companies.
  • Gold was up 0.25% in Asia to $US1925/oz. For the most part, gold stocks were marginally higher today.
  • Iron Ore was up ~0.6% in Asia, supporting a ~4.5% rally for Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (ASX: FMG) off its early lows.
  • Stocks across the region also rallied from lows with the Hang Seng the star, up +1.15%.
  • US Futures are up around 0.25%.

S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) Index

S&P/ASX 200 (INDEXASX: XJO) Index

Stocks this week – Source Bloomberg

Stocks this week – Source Bloomberg

Broker Moves

  • Bank of Queensland Ltd (ASX: BOQ) Cut to Underperform at Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG); PT A$5.25
  • Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Ltd (ASX: BEN) Cut to Underperform at Macquarie; PT A$8.75
  • Santos Ltd (ASX: STO) Cut to Neutral at Jarden Securities; PT A$8.05
  • Mesoblast Ltd (ASX: MSB) Raised to Speculative Buy at Bell Potter
  • Transurban Group (ASX: TCL) Raised to Buy at Jefferies; PT A$14.08

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*Active Income Portfolio FY 23 of 15.36% achieved between 01/07/22 to 30/06/23.

At the time of publishing, the author or their clients may have a financial interest in some of companies or securities mentioned.

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