IAG (ASX:IAG) share price unmoved despite guidance uplift

The Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price is unmoved today despite the company rising cash profit by 62% in the first half. 

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The Insurance Australia Group Ltd (ASX: IAG) share price is unmoved today despite the company rising cash profit by 62% in the first half.

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IAG is an insurance provider to households and businesses across its stable of brands including NRMA, RACV, CGU and State Insurance NZ.

Source: IAG 1H22 Results Presentation
Source: IAG 1H22 Results Presentation

Growth across all divisions

Key highlights from the first half ending 31 December 2021 include:

  • Gross written premiums (GWPs) of $6.18 billion, up 6.2% year-on-year (YoY)
  • Cash earnings of $176 million, down 62.1% YoY
  • Net profit after tax of $173 million, a reversal of the $460 million loss in the corresponding period
  • Dividend of 6 cents per share, down from 7 cents

GWP – the revenue IAG receives for its insurance policies – increased largely as a result of increased prices passed onto consumers to keep up with inflation.

Intermediated insurance – which acts as a broker between insurer and policyholder – was the strongest performer increasing revenue by 9%.

Similarly, New Zealand achieved a 5.9% increase while underlying margins improved.

The direct insurance division achieved volume growth of 3.3%. Growth in motor and home policies was offset by a reduction in third-party and commercial.

Accounting trickeries

Net profit improved but cash profit went down. How can this be?

Cash profit is a better illustration of the underlying business, whereas net profit includes non-cash items.

In the prior period, IAG had to allocate a $1.15 billion provision for potential COVID-19 claims, reducing last year’s result and flattering this year’s net profit.

Cash profit sunk due to $681 million in natural disaster costs.

October was a particularly bad month, with storms across SA, Tasmania and Victoria weighing on IAG’s insurance margin.

The higher claim costs are not exclusive to IAG, with competitor Suncorp Group Ltd (ASX: SUN) incurring lower cash earnings.

What’s next for the IAG share price?

IAG upgraded its GWP growth forecast from low single-digit to mid-single-digit growth for FY22.

Conversely, it cut reporting margin guidance from 13.5%-15.5% to 10.0%-12.0%.

The margin reduction is primarily from increased natural peril costs and to a less extent reserve strengthening and subsiding pandemic benefits.

The business also reiterated its aim to add 1 million customers and $400 million of cost reduction over the next by FY26.

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At the time of publishing, Lachlan does not have a financial or commercial interest in any of the companies or funds mentioned.

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