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ASX 200 tipped to fall – SEK, ABC, OSH & Tesla stock in focus

The S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) is heading for another negative open this morning according to the latest ASX futures. Here’s what’s making headlines as ASX reporting season starts drawing to a close.

ASX 200 on the cusp of five months of gains, SEEK sold off on split

The ASX 200 rallied 0.9% on Tuesday, overcoming a weak start with the energy and oil sector powering the market higher. Woodside Petroleum Limited (ASX: WPL) and Origin Energy Ltd (ASX: ORG) added 5.7% and 3.6%, respectively, after the oil price gained 4% overnight on signs of a strengthening global economy.

The IT sector was the primary detractor, down 4.1% with property also seeing a strong recovery as Victorian and NSW restrictions look set to be further loosened. SEEK Limited (ASX: SEK) was the major culprit, falling 7.1% after announcing the sale of a significant stake in its Chinese business, Zhaopin, and the transition of its CEO Andrew Bassat. Bassat will be taking over leadership of the ‘Investments’ business within SEEK, which is focused on venture capital opportunities with ex-CBA CEO Ian Narev taking over the employment business.

SEEK reported an 8% fall in profit on the back of a 7% fall in revenue, as job ads take time to recover following the pandemic. The original Zhaopin investment was just $20 million, with the sale taking its stake to 23.5% and potentially made at a value of $697 million; that’s some investment. The company rallied to an all-time high in recent months despite weakening sales and a difficult environment, benefitting from the ‘tech’ rally and remains somewhat expensive given the uncertainty ahead.

Oil Search profits crushed, AdBri share price rallies

Australian exports to China dropped 5% in January, with iron ore and cereal grains among the hardest hit. Despite the headline, this reduction was somewhat expected given the huge run-up in iron ore exports in 2020.

Oil Search Ltd (ASX: OSH) reported a 93% fall in profit to just US$22 million on revenue of US$1.1 billion, also down 32%. The company was hard hit by the pandemic-driven fall in the oil price, but is likely to recover quickly with production guidance improved. The Oil Search share price rallied 6.4%.

AdBri Ltd (ASX: ABC) delivered a 98% increase in profit to $93.7 million despite reporting a 4.1% fall in revenue to $1.5 billion for the full year. The trend of seeing lower revenue but higher profits is increasingly common in 2021, with cost-cutting and production slowdowns reducing costs, and, in some cases, existing inventory being used to meet demand particularly in the consumer sector. The company rallied 10.5% on the news and announced a 45% increase in the interim dividend on the prior year.

Meanwhile, APA Group (ASX: APA) fell 1.2% despite increasing its dividend by 4.3%. The company reported an $11.7 million loss due to the $249 million write-down of its Orbost Gas Plant, which is struggling to meet agreed processing levels.

Nasdaq falls for sixth straight day, Bitcoin nears bear market territory

The Nasdaq fell as much as 2.5% during the session overnight but managed to finish down just 0.5% as concerns about tech valuations once again gathered steam.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) led the falls, down 9% during the session but ultimately finishing just 2.1% lower, with the recent US$1.5 billion investment in Bitcoin a concern for investors following the 18% fall in the last few days.

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell assuaged fears once again, confirming the central bank’s US$120 billion per month money-printing policy will not be slowed anytime soon. This sent markets higher during the session and is forcing investors into a difficult decision. To assume low rates will remain for the foreseeable future, or to start positioning for a less supportive policy environment. Both have risks, as we have seen overnight, with any signs of continued support sending the market higher.

The US economy reported the strongest increase in home prices in seven years, jumping 10.1% on 2020 levels in January.

Elsewhere, Ares Management (NYSE: ARES) is expected to confirm a deal to take a large stake in AMP Capital’s investment business according to Bloomberg.

It’s set to be a very busy day on the ASX with reports from the likes of Woolworths Group Ltd (ASX: WOW), Appen Ltd (ASX: APX), WiseTech Group Ltd (ASX: WTC) and Sydney Airport Holdings Pty Ltd (ASX: SYD). Check out Rask Media’s reporting season hub and ASX reporting season calendar for all the latest.

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At the time of publishing, the author of this article does not have a financial or commercial interest in any of the companies mentioned.

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