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S&P/ASX 200 to fall – TLS, CGF & HUB shares in focus

The S&P/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) is set to slide when the market opens this morning according to the latest SPI futures. Here’s your daily ASX morning report.

ASX in seventh heaven

The ASX 200 reached its highest point in seven months, passing 6,200 points after improving 1.0% on Tuesday. This takes the rally to seven straight days with all sectors except materials finishing higher.

The financial sector continues to outperform as economic conditions return to normal, despite the continued lockdowns in Victoria. National Australia Bank Ltd (ASX: NAB) shares finished 1.9% higher. Even at current prices, the sector is still over one third lower than its 2020 highs.

The Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) share price was the highlight of the day, finishing 4.0% higher after the Chairman suggested the current dividend would be retained even if it required a higher payout ratio. This came at the same time that profit forecasts for 2021 were confirmed.

The quasi trade war with China continued with reports that the Chinese were set to ban coal exports from Australia, sending New Hope Coal (ASX: NHC) shares 7.3% lower.

On the positive side, the Chinese economy is leading the world out of the crisis, with exports growing 9.9% in September and imports 13.2% higher.

Another record for Hub24, Challenger issues more debt

Maggie Beer Holdings Ltd (ASX: MBH) shares rallied 14.8% after joining the online sales boom. The ASX micro-cap reported 237% growth in online sales in Q1, albeit off a very small base, representing just 5% of total sales. The company also signed a deal with meal kit distributor Marley Spoon AG (ASX: MMM) to include cheese platters in weekly meal deliveries. Solid sales growth but clearly not material.

Annuity issuer Challenger Ltd (ASX: CGF) offered an update to investors whilst launching a $250 million capital note to repay upcoming maturities. Priced at a 4.6% to 4.8% premium to the Bank Bill Swap Rate, supported by a solid asset base, the offer appears to be reasonable value.

Elsewhere, independent platform provider, Hub24 Ltd (ASX: HUB) hit another milestone, with assets under management increasing 32% to $19 billion. Management highlighted another 27 new licensees had joined, triggering a record $1.36 billion in net inflows during September. HUB24 shares finished 2.2% higher on the news.

Apple announces new 5G iPhone, mixed day for US stocks

The S&P 500 fell 0.6% and the Nasdaq ended flat overnight. Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) stock finished 2.0% lower despite releasing its new iPhone 12 model, which included 5G connectivity, along with a new in-home assistant, HomePod Mini.

But once again, it was stimulus discussions stealing the limelight, with the Democrats pushing back on the Republicans. It’s looking more likely that nothing will come to fruition before the election, which doesn’t bode well for markets in the short term.

Both JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Citigroup Inc (NYSE: C) lifted third-quarter earnings on the back of higher trading volumes. JPMorgan saw a 30% increase in overall trading and a 29% rise in fixed-income trading revenue as investors become more active. The bank added just US$611 million to its impairments for potential loan losses, far less than the US$10 billion in the second quarter. The result bodes well for Australia’s own investment bank, Macquarie Group Ltd (ASX: MQG), which should benefit today.

This article was written by Drew Meredith, Financial Adviser and Director of Wattle Partners. To get in contact with Drew, click here to visit the Wattle Partners website.

The Golden Rules of Investing

We might be experts in retirement, but with combined financial advice experience of 35+ years, we’ve nearly seen it all. 

In mid-2023, our senior team at Wattle Partners Financial Planning put the finishing touches on a brand-new report “The Golden Rules of Investing“.

In this free report, we outline the key principles that determine all of the portfolio construction and investment decisions of Wattle Partners. Collated over decades, this paper should be seen as a work-in-progress, constantly under review in light of the ever-evolving nature of markets. 

You’ll find the free report on my Author page. Simply click the button below to view the Golden Rules.

Information warning: The information on this website is published by The Rask Group Pty Ltd (ABN: 36 622 810 995) is limited to factual information or (at most) general financial advice only. That means, the information and advice does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. It is not specific to you, your needs, goals or objectives. Because of that, you should consider if the advice is appropriate to you and your needs, before acting on the information. If you don’t know what your needs are, you should consult a trusted and licensed financial adviser who can provide you with personal financial product advice. In addition, you should obtain and read the product disclosure statement (PDS) before making a decision to acquire a financial product. Please read our Terms and Conditions and Financial Services Guide before using this website. The Rask Group Pty Ltd is a Corporate Authorised Representative (#1280930) of AFSL #383169.


Disclosure: At the time of publishing, Drew does not have a financial or commercial interest in any of the companies mentioned.

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Wattle Partners is a financial advice firm, servicing clients around Australia, specialising in retirement planning (pre and post retirement). 

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