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Why The Prospa (ASX:PGL) Share Price Is Down 27%

The Prospa (ASX: PGL) share price is down 27% after giving investors a market update.

Prospa is a credit provider for businesses offering loans between $5,000 and $300,000. Loans up to $100,000 can be given with no security. So far it has funded over $1 billion of loans. The company was listed on the ASX in June 2019 after an earlier unsuccessful attempt.

Prospa’s Painful Profit Shortfall

Prospa gave a trading and guidance update this morning, updating investors about how it’s tracking against the guidance given in its Prospectus.

On the originations side of things the company is expecting calendar year 2019 orginations to be $574.5 million, up 32% on the prior corresponding and 2.7% higher than the Prospectus forecast.

However, revenue is expected to be $143.8 million which would be 16% higher than last year but it’s 8% lower than the forecast in the Prospectus.

The company said that the lower revenue was because of its ‘premiumisation’ strategy where premium credit quality customers who pay lower interest rates over longer terms are taking up more loans, although Prospa is still lending to all credit grades.

Whilst revenue and the margin is lower, management are expecting this to be mostly offset by a lower impairment expense and funding costs. The company expects further reductions in net impairments as the premium loan book seasons.

However, the company said that EBITDA (click here to learn what EBITDA means) for 2019 will be $4 million, 42% lower than what the Prospectus predicted. According to Prospa, the reduction is due to: accelerated investment for growth, a number one-off expenditures and some cost over-runs which the company is currently addressing.

Prospa CEO and co-founder Greg Moshal said: “Our business continues to grow and evolve. While we are experiencing some short term impacts on our forecasts, we’re confident we have the right growth strategies to deliver long term shareholder value and solve the funding challenges of small business owners across Australia and New Zealand. 

Originations are growing. Portfolio premiumisation means a higher quality loan book and lower rates and longer average terms for our customers. Early loss indicators continue to improve and we expect to continue to invest in new products, sales and marketing.”

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