We’ve identified one great way to play the rapid rise of the Indian consumer market in Bharti Infratel Ltd (NSE: INFRATEL) stock.
India’s richest man disrupted the Indian telecom market two years ago when his company, Reliance Jio, began offering free voice and data services to everyone for an initial three-month period.
This offer was subsequently extended by another three months and Reliance Jio has since been offering the cheapest data plans in the industry and taking significant market share. Many telecom operators went bankrupt or were acquired and this has created some interesting investment opportunities in the Indian telecom sector, one of which is Bharti Infratel.
Bharti Infratel is a telecom tower operator in India. Its core business is building and operating telecom towers, which it leases to the three largest telecom operators in India, namely Bharti Airtel, Reliance Jio and Vodafone Idea. Reliance Jio’s entry decimated the Indian telecom sector, from more than ten operators in 2016 to only three major operators remaining. The demand for telecom towers has been severely reduced in the short term but with the merger of Vodafone India and Idea Cellular finally complete, the worst should now be behind Bharti Infratel and tenancies should begin to increase again.
A Conservative Investment With Long-Term Growth
We have identified Bharti Infratel as being a defensive investment with long term growth opportunities and have invested in it for these main reasons:
1. Continued rollout of 4G – Mobile data usage has skyrocketed in India since the rollout of 4G in 2016, increasing by more than twenty times over a two-year period. In order to maintain a high level of service as well as increase 4G coverage, the telecom services providers will all need to lease additional telecom towers.
2. Long-term growth – China and India both have three major telecom operators and a similar population size. However, India has less than half a million telecom towers while China has around two million telecom towers, which suggests significant long-term growth potential.
3. Merger – Bharti Infratel is currently in the process of merging with Indus Towers, the largest telecom tower operator in India. Post-merger, the combined company will have more than 160,000 telecom towers and about 50% market share in terms of tenancies.
4. Cheap valuation and strong balance sheet – Bharti Infratel is currently trading on a very attractive valuation having fallen more than 40% from its high in late 2017. Bharti Infratel also has no debt and a more than 4% dividend yield.
5. Takeover target – KKR and the Canada Pension Plan Investment Board own 10.3% of Bharti and they have been rumoured to make a bid post-merger. Both Bharti Airtel and Vodafone have appeared keen to dispose of their stakes in order to fund their network investment and a deal should be forthcoming as long as the price is right.
This stock is currently held our International Fund.
This analysis was contributed by Steven Glass, Deputy Fund Manager for the Pengana International Fund. You can receive Pengana’s analysis by subscribing for the latest updates. Click here to the investing insights that matter.
Steven Glass, CFA